Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.120291 0.139127 0.159923 0.184583 0.213030 0.244818 0.283047
2025-11-30 0.090965 0.116327 0.147203 0.187554 0.238914 0.302138 0.385957
2025-12-07 0.072622 0.099595 0.134741 0.183885 0.250864 0.339042 0.464131
2025-12-14 0.060639 0.088049 0.125805 0.181594 0.261992 0.373796 0.541405
2025-12-21 0.053068 0.080966 0.121286 0.183784 0.278309 0.416136 0.632870
2025-12-28 0.048727 0.077709 0.121434 0.192172 0.303878 0.473797 0.752647
2026-01-04 0.044418 0.073762 0.119807 0.197267 0.324509 0.525684 0.868952
2026-01-11 0.040659 0.070101 0.118010 0.201579 0.343961 0.577269 0.989996
2026-01-18 0.036964 0.066010 0.114913 0.203157 0.358733 0.622338 1.104678
2026-01-25 0.033092 0.061089 0.109769 0.200470 0.365625 0.654440 1.200029
2026-02-01 0.029172 0.055581 0.102924 0.193863 0.364611 0.672304 1.271434
2026-02-08 0.027187 0.053377 0.101712 0.197284 0.382037 0.724592 1.411071
2026-02-15 0.025006 0.050592 0.099206 0.198155 0.395096 0.770802 1.545698
2026-02-22 0.023317 0.048573 0.097935 0.201273 0.412861 0.827836 1.707983
2026-03-01 0.021049 0.045102 0.093413 0.197338 0.416021 0.856520 1.816337
2026-03-08 0.019195 0.042264 0.089833 0.194879 0.421824 0.890878 1.939824
2026-03-15 0.017990 0.040664 0.088619 0.197229 0.437912 0.947852 2.117168
2026-03-22 0.017467 0.040494 0.090402 0.206228 0.469273 1.040088 2.381015
2026-03-29 0.016682 0.039639 0.090595 0.211694 0.493352 1.118943 2.623502
2026-04-05 0.015891 0.038676 0.090436 0.216320 0.515978 1.196778 2.871978
2026-04-12 0.014955 0.037260 0.089089 0.218013 0.531931 1.261042 3.095568
2026-04-19 0.013801 0.035181 0.085972 0.215131 0.536660 1.299737 3.262056
2026-04-26 0.012498 0.032583 0.081342 0.208042 0.530366 1.311666 3.364219